Dual Momentum Journey

When is the best time to start investing?

• As soon as you can
• During a Drawdown – Currently -12% DD.Opportunity??

As soon as you can because you have more time to compound.

During Drawdowns as Dual momentum & Trend following strategies limit downside around 30-35% Max. in the most extreme cases with over < 3 years of “time under water”. A new trend always emerge.

For instance, check my trend following indicators.

Drawdowns in trend following and dual momentum are very similar. Of course it depends on what assets / timeframe / levergage you use (not recommended)…

This is the typical drawdown for most trend following / dual momentum strategies. Though here it doesn’t go lower than 19.3% it can reach -30/33%. And the time under water is max. 3 years in the worst cases.

That’s why my montecarlo analysis says it’s impossible to losse money here in my blended system.

Compared to SPY (if we added 1929-31 data spy’d look way worse). Not my dual strategy though as we can raise cash when nothing works.

Current Drawdown: -12.3% (03/30/2026)

From 30 to 14.64% (aprox.)

As I am in a current -12% DD. It can go worse I am starting to see it as an opportunity for people who are not invested in my blended system strategy.

How do you make money in the markets?

We need a principal, an interest rate (my dual momentum strategy) and years in the market. Then the math is simple:

My blended system Since 2008.

100.000K – 17% CAGR my 2 systems in 18 years: 1.687.895 USD (tax delayed) – but with less drawdowns. Now add my subscription cost. Aprox. 18k in 18 Years. 1.669.895

100.000K – 11% CAGR S&P500 in 18 years: 674.355 USD (tax delayed) – uncertain, money might flew S&P 500, we don’t know.

Can this work for you?

My strategies use very simple rules and focus on long term trends and momentum (proven edge) so overfitting is reduced. Walk forward analysis and simple logic allows me to deploy all my wealth + family as this is a high conviction path to wealth.

It just won’t work if you don’t plan to stick with it. Outperformance comes from exploting a few opportunities the market gives and protecting from long bear markets.

Every day I send an daily email + I write substack posts so you have the best understanding on how this works and we can build a relationship based on trust and confidence. I am also track record verified on fundesseder.com

Start inesting with me